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Sensitivity analyses of dense cloud chemical models

机译:密集云化学模型的敏感性分析

摘要

Because of new telescopes that will dramatically improve our knowledge of theinterstellar medium, chemical models will have to be used to simulate thechemistry of many regions with diverse properties. To make these models morerobust, it is important to understand their sensitivity to a variety ofparameters. In this article, we report a study of the sensitivity of a chemicalmodel of a cold dense core, with homogeneous and time-independent physicalconditions, to variations in the following parameters: initial chemicalinventory, gas temperature and density, cosmic-ray ionization rate, chemicalreaction rate coefficients, and elemental abundances. From the results of theparameter variations, we can quantify the sensitivity of the model to eachparameter as a function of time. Our results can be used in principle withobservations to constrain some parameters for different cold clouds. We alsoattempted to use the Monte Carlo approach with all parameters variedcollectively. Within the parameter ranges studied, the most critical parametersturn out to be the reaction rate coefficients at times up to 4e5 yr andelemental abundances at later times. At typical times of best agreement withobservation, models are sensitive to both of these parameters. The models areless sensitive to other parameters such as the gas density and temperature. Theimprovement of models will require that the uncertainties in rate coefficientsof important reactions be reduced. As the chemistry becomes better understoodand more robust, it should be possible to use model sensitivities concerningother parameters, such as the elemental abundances and the cosmic rayionization rate, to yield detailed information on cloud properties and history.Nevertheless, at the current stage, we cannot determine the best values of allthe parameters simultaneously based on purely observational constraints.
机译:由于新的望远镜将极大地改善我们对星际介质的了解,因此必须使用化学模型来模拟许多具有不同特性的区域的化学反应。为了使这些模型更稳健,重要的是要了解它们对各种参数的敏感性。在本文中,我们报告了对具有致密且不依赖时间的物理条件的冷致密芯化学模型对以下参数变化的敏感性的研究:初始化学物质清单,气体温度和密度,宇宙射线电离速率,化学反应速率系数和元素丰度。根据参数变化的结果,我们可以将模型对每个参数的敏感性作为时间的函数进行量化。我们的结果在原则上可用于观测,以约束不同冷云的一些参数。我们还尝试使用蒙特卡洛方法,将所有参数共同改变。在所研究的参数范围内,最关键的参数最终是在最高4e5年时的反应速率系数和在后来的时间中的元素丰度。在与观测最佳吻合的典型时间,模型对这两个参数都敏感。该模型对其他参数(例如气体密度和温度)不敏感。模型的改进将要求减少重要反应速率系数的不确定性。随着人们对化学方法的了解和功能的增强,应该有可能使用有关其他参数(例如元素丰度和宇宙射线化率)的模型敏感性来获得有关云的性质和历史的详细信息。但是,在现阶段,我们无法纯粹基于观测约束,同时确定所有参数的最佳值。

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